Fed Minutes and 10-Year Auction Set the Tone for Global Duration ```json { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Fed Minutes and 10-Year Auction Set the Tone for Global Duration", "description": "Two scheduled events today — the release of September FOMC minutes and a $39 billion 10-year Treasury auction — will determine whether the global bond selloff deepens or pauses, with direct consequences for Bunds, Gilts, and the dollar.", "image": [ "https://assets.basitfx.com/cms/34449711-9253-4b83-8461-83ac2d09a8e6.jpg" ], "datePublished": "2026-10-07T06:07:52.179Z", "dateModified": "2026-10-07T06:07:51.966Z", "author": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "SimpleFX", "url": "https://basitfx.com", "sameAs": [ "https://basitfx.com/social/x", "https://basitfx.com/social/linkedin", "https://github.com/SimpleFXcom/simplefx-api", "https://basitfx.com/social/facebook", "https://basitfx.com/social/youtube", "https://basitfx.com/social/tiktok", "https://www.trustpilot.com/review/simplefx.com" ] }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "SimpleFX", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://basitfx.com/assets/images/simplefx-logo.png", "width": 600, "height": 60 }, "url": "https://basitfx.com", "sameAs": [ "https://basitfx.com/social/x", "https://basitfx.com/social/linkedin", "https://github.com/SimpleFXcom/simplefx-api", "https://basitfx.com/social/facebook", "https://basitfx.com/social/youtube", "https://basitfx.com/social/tiktok", "https://www.trustpilot.com/review/simplefx.com" ] }, "mainEntityOfPage": { "@type": "WebPage", "@id": "https://basitfx.com/id/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration" }, "articleSection": "Trading news", "keywords": "market-pulse, central-banks, macro, us-treasuries, bonds, federal-reserve, rates, dollar, briefing-eu-2026-10-07", "inLanguage": "en", "isAccessibleForFree": true, "wordCount": 898, "timeRequired": "PT5M" } ``` 78% akun investor ritel mengalami kerugian tunai akibat perdagangan CFD dengan penyedia CFD ini. CFD merupakan instrumen yang kompleks dan memiliki risiko tinggi kehilangan uang dengan cepat karena leverage. 78% akun investor ritel kehilangan uang saat berdagang CFD dengan penyedia ini. Anda harus mempertimbangkan apakah Anda memahami cara kerja CFD dan apakah Anda mampu menanggung risiko tinggi kehilangan uang Anda. CFD merupakan instrumen yang kompleks dan memiliki risiko tinggi kehilangan uang dengan cepat karena leverage. 78% akun investor ritel kehilangan uang saat berdagang CFD dengan penyedia ini. Anda harus mempertimbangkan apakah Anda memahami cara kerja CFD dan apakah Anda mampu menanggung risiko tinggi kehilangan uang Anda. [![BasitFX logo](./assets/images/basitfx-logo.png?v=2)](id/) Menawarkan [Promosi Baru Lihat penawaran bonus terbaru](id/promotions "Lihat penawaran bonus terbaru") [Kripto Lihat Bitcoin dan altcoin di SimpleFX](id/offer/crypto "Lihat Bitcoin dan altcoin di SimpleFX") [Valas Pilih pasangan mata uang mayor dan minor](id/offer/forex "Pilih pasangan mata uang mayor dan minor") [Indeks Terlibat dengan indeks di seluruh dunia](id/offer/indices "Terlibat dengan indeks di seluruh dunia") [Komoditas Pilih antara energi dan aset pertanian](id/offer/commodities "Pilih antara energi dan aset pertanian") [Logam Gali pasar bernilai tinggi](id/offer/metals "Gali pasar bernilai tinggi") [Ekuitas Jelajahi perusahaan Amerika, Eropa, dan Asia](id/offer/equities "Jelajahi perusahaan Amerika, Eropa, dan Asia") [ETF Lakukan perdagangan secara menyeluruh, meliputi indeks, sektor, dan tema dalam satu tempat.](id/offer/etf "Lakukan perdagangan secara menyeluruh, meliputi indeks, sektor, dan tema dalam satu tempat.") [Earn - Stake & Trade Hasilkan uang tambahan dari staking dan trading](id/earn-stake-trade "Hasilkan uang tambahan dari staking dan trading") [Pergi untuk menawarkan](id/offer) Informasi perdagangan [Simbol kita Perdagangkan banyak aset keuangan](id/instruments "Perdagangkan banyak aset keuangan") [Cara Pembayaran Berbagai opsi fiat dan kripto](id/payments "Berbagai opsi fiat dan kripto") [SFX Coin Jelajahi berbagai kemungkinan yang tersedia dengan token kami](id/sfx-simplefx-coin "Jelajahi berbagai kemungkinan yang tersedia dengan token kami") [Bitcoin Lightning Network Raih level baru dalam perdagangan kripto](id/bitcoin-lightning-network "Raih level baru dalam perdagangan kripto") [Berita perdagangan Analisis pasar harian dan pembaruan berita.](id/trading-news "Analisis pasar harian dan pembaruan berita.") [Tanpa biaya Jelajahi fitur gratis kami](id/zero-fees "Jelajahi fitur gratis kami") Platform [Aplikasi seluler Berdaganglah ke mana pun Anda pergi](id/mobile-app "Berdaganglah ke mana pun Anda pergi") [Aplikasi desktop Manfaatkan seluruh kekuatan SimpleFX](id/desktop-app "Manfaatkan seluruh kekuatan SimpleFX") [Aplikasi website Memanfaatkan teknologi mutakhir](id/web-trader "Memanfaatkan teknologi mutakhir") [Pergi ke platform](id/platforms) [![](./assets/header/timi-logo.png) TiMi AI](id/timi-ai-trade-mate) Perusahaan [Tentang SimpleFX Lihat hal-hal penting tentang merek kami](id/about "Lihat hal-hal penting tentang merek kami") [Kesadaran keamanan siber Cari tahu bagaimana kami melindungi transaksi Anda](id/cybersecurity-awareness "Cari tahu bagaimana kami melindungi transaksi Anda") [Terhubung untuk bisnis Jelajahi solusi khusus yang didedikasikan untuk bisnis Anda](id/connect-for-business "Jelajahi solusi khusus yang didedikasikan untuk bisnis Anda") [Pusat Bantuan](id/help-center) Pencarian populer [ BTCUSD](id/instruments/BTCUSD)[ DE40](id/instruments/DE40)[ ETHUSD](id/instruments/ETHUSD)[ EURUSD](id/instruments/EURUSD)[ EWY.US](id/instruments/EWY.US)[ FXI.US](id/instruments/FXI.US)[ GASOLINE](id/instruments/GASOLINE)[ MSTR.US](id/instruments/MSTR.US)[ MU.US](id/instruments/MU.US)[ NVDA.US](id/instruments/NVDA.US)[ OIL](id/instruments/OIL)[ SOXL.US](id/instruments/SOXL.US)[ TSLA.US](id/instruments/TSLA.US)[ US100](id/instruments/US100)[ US500](id/instruments/US500)[ USDJPY](id/instruments/USDJPY)[ XAUUSD](id/instruments/XAUUSD) [Mendaftar](https://app.basitfx.com/signup) [Masuk](https://app.basitfx.com/login) [Mendaftar](https://app.basitfx.com/signup) ID [EN - English](/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [AR - العربية](/ar/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [ES - Español](/es/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [FR - Français](/fr/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [HI - Hindi](/hi/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [ID - Bahasa Indonesia](/id/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [KO - Korean](/ko/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [MY - Malay](/my/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [PT-BR - Português](/pt/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [RU - Русский](/ru/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [TH - ภาษาไทย](/th/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [TR - Türkçe](/tr/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [VI - Tiếng Việt](/vi/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [ZH - 中文](/zh/trading-news/fed-minutes-and-10-year-auction-set-the-tone-for-global-duration) [Masuk](https://app.basitfx.com/login) [Daftar sekarang](https://app.basitfx.com/signup) Menawarkan [Promosi Baru Lihat penawaran bonus terbaru](id/promotions "Lihat penawaran bonus terbaru") [Kripto Lihat Bitcoin dan altcoin di SimpleFX](id/offer/crypto "Lihat Bitcoin dan altcoin di SimpleFX") [Valas Pilih pasangan mata uang mayor dan minor](id/offer/forex "Pilih pasangan mata uang mayor dan minor") [Indeks Terlibat dengan indeks di seluruh dunia](id/offer/indices "Terlibat dengan indeks di seluruh dunia") [Komoditas Pilih antara energi dan aset pertanian](id/offer/commodities "Pilih antara energi dan aset pertanian") [Logam Gali pasar bernilai tinggi](id/offer/metals "Gali pasar bernilai tinggi") [Ekuitas Jelajahi perusahaan Amerika, Eropa, dan Asia](id/offer/equities "Jelajahi perusahaan Amerika, Eropa, dan Asia") [ETF Lakukan perdagangan secara menyeluruh, meliputi indeks, sektor, dan tema dalam satu tempat.](id/offer/etf "Lakukan perdagangan secara menyeluruh, meliputi indeks, sektor, dan tema dalam satu tempat.") [Earn - Stake & Trade Hasilkan uang tambahan dari staking dan trading](id/earn-stake-trade "Hasilkan uang tambahan dari staking dan trading") [Pergi untuk menawarkan](id/offer) Informasi perdagangan [Simbol kita Perdagangkan banyak aset keuangan](id/instruments "Perdagangkan banyak aset keuangan") [Cara Pembayaran Berbagai opsi fiat dan kripto](id/payments "Berbagai opsi fiat dan kripto") [SFX Coin Jelajahi berbagai kemungkinan yang tersedia dengan token kami](id/sfx-simplefx-coin "Jelajahi berbagai kemungkinan yang tersedia dengan token kami") [Bitcoin Lightning Network Raih level baru dalam perdagangan kripto](id/bitcoin-lightning-network "Raih level baru dalam perdagangan kripto") [Berita perdagangan Analisis pasar harian dan pembaruan berita.](id/trading-news "Analisis pasar harian dan pembaruan berita.") [Tanpa biaya Jelajahi fitur gratis kami](id/zero-fees "Jelajahi fitur gratis kami") Platform [Aplikasi seluler Berdaganglah ke mana pun Anda pergi](id/mobile-app "Berdaganglah ke mana pun Anda pergi") [Aplikasi desktop Manfaatkan seluruh kekuatan SimpleFX](id/desktop-app "Manfaatkan seluruh kekuatan SimpleFX") [Aplikasi website Memanfaatkan teknologi mutakhir](id/web-trader "Memanfaatkan teknologi mutakhir") [Pergi ke platform](id/platforms) [![](./assets/header/timi-logo.png) TiMi AI](id/timi-ai-trade-mate) Perusahaan [Tentang SimpleFX Lihat hal-hal penting tentang merek kami](id/about "Lihat hal-hal penting tentang merek kami") [Kesadaran keamanan siber Cari tahu bagaimana kami melindungi transaksi Anda](id/cybersecurity-awareness "Cari tahu bagaimana kami melindungi transaksi Anda") [Terhubung untuk bisnis Jelajahi solusi khusus yang didedikasikan untuk bisnis Anda](id/connect-for-business "Jelajahi solusi khusus yang didedikasikan untuk bisnis Anda") [Pusat Bantuan](id/help-center) EN - English AR - العربية ES - Español FR - Français HI - Hindi ID - Bahasa Indonesia KO - Korean MY - Malay PT-BR - Português RU - Русский TH - ภาษาไทย TR - Türkçe VI - Tiếng Việt ZH - 中文 * [](id/ "Rumah") * [Berita perdagangan](id/trading-news) * Fed Minutes and 10-Year Auction Set the Tone for Global Duration Fed Minutes and 10-Year Auction Set the Tone for Global Duration ================================================================ Two scheduled events today — the release of September FOMC minutes and a $39 billion 10-year Treasury auction — will determine whether the global bond selloff deepens or pauses, with direct consequences for Bunds, Gilts, and the dollar. Updated 06:07:51 07/10/2026 ![Fed Minutes and 10-Year Auction Set the Tone for Global Duration](https://assets.basitfx.com/cms/medium_34449711-9253-4b83-8461-83ac2d09a8e6.jpg) A $39 Billion Auction and a Set of Minutes That Could Reopen December --------------------------------------------------------------------- Two events land in the US session today that carry outsized weight for global rates. At 18:00 UK time, the Treasury sells $39 billion in 10-year notes into a market where the 10-year yield has already touched 5.35% — a 24-year high — before settling near 5.31%, with the 30-year at 5.67%. Then, at 2:00 p.m. ET / 19:00 BST, the Fed releases the minutes of its 15-16 September FOMC meeting, at which the committee voted 12-0 to hike 25 basis points, lifting the target range to 3.75%-4.00%. The sequence matters. The auction result will be known before the minutes drop, meaning a weak print — a tail, a soft bid-to-cover, poor dealer takedown — would hand the minutes an already-fragile backdrop. A tail at this level of yield would be the cleanest bearish trigger for global duration heading into Thursday's open for Bunds and Gilts. The minutes themselves carry extra weight given what has happened since the September meeting. The September payrolls report, released on 2 October, showed nonfarm payrolls rising by just 29,000 against a consensus near 90,000, with unemployment moving higher than expected and significant downward revisions to the two prior months. That miss effectively priced out an October hike in futures markets. Yet the long end did not rally in response — the 10-year yield made a fresh high in the days that followed. That divergence between front-end repricing and long-end behaviour is the central puzzle the minutes could help resolve. If the September discussion reveals that officials were already debating a higher-for-longer path — emphasising term premium, fiscal supply, or persistent services inflation — the minutes would read as hawkish even against a softening labour market. That combination would extend the selloff in global duration and support the dollar. Conversely, if the text shows the committee was genuinely data-dependent and open to pausing, it offers the clearest near-term relief for European bond markets that have been under sustained pressure. For European traders, the transmission runs directly through Bunds and Gilts, which have tracked the US selloff closely. A hawkish read or a weak auction would set a negative gap for both markets at Thursday's open. A dovish tone or a clean auction result would give European duration room to recover, though the underlying supply and inflation dynamics have not changed. Inflation, Oil, and OATs Add Pressure from Every Direction ---------------------------------------------------------- The bond market's vulnerability is not solely a US story. The EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook, published on 6 October, raised its Brent forecast for the fourth quarter, with the oil market pivoting around the $100 handle — roughly half again its level a year ago. Elevated energy prices keep the headline inflation impulse alive globally, complicating any dovish pivot narrative ahead of the 14 October US CPI release, where consensus expects headline inflation to accelerate from its prior reading. In European credit, French OATs have been the focal point of the regional selloff. The 10-year OAT yield reached its highest level since 2002 on 6 October, and the spread over Bunds widened to its broadest since 2011, driven by fiscal slippage and budget uncertainty. OATs did recover on 6 October after political developments offered some near-term relief, but the underlying fiscal dynamics remain unresolved. The ECB's September meeting accounts are scheduled for release at 11:30 GMT on 8 October, which may add colour on how the Governing Council is weighing the inflation shock — euro area HICP accelerated sharply in September — against the growth outlook. CPI on 14 October Is the Next Hard Stop --------------------------------------- The next concrete catalyst is US September CPI, scheduled for 14 October at 8:30 a.m. ET. Consensus expects headline inflation to rise from its prior reading, with energy the primary driver, while core is expected to remain more contained — a split that could pull Fed pricing in opposite directions simultaneously. A hot headline alongside elevated Brent could revive December hike expectations and extend the pressure on global bonds; an in-line or softer core would reinforce the October hold base case that the payrolls miss established. For today, the sequencing is the key variable: auction result first, then minutes. A tail followed by hawkish minutes would be the most adverse combination for duration heading into the European pre-open on 8 October. ### Risk Factors * Auction tail risk: a weak 10-year result before the minutes drop could amplify any hawkish read and accelerate the global duration selloff into the European open. * Whipsaw on minutes release: the 19:00 BST timing means any sharp move in Treasuries, Bunds futures, and the dollar will occur in thin after-hours conditions, increasing gap risk for the 8 October open. * OAT-Bund spread volatility: French fiscal uncertainty remains unresolved; any renewed widening in the spread would weigh on the euro and European equities independently of the US events. * Energy-inflation feedback: Brent holding near the $100 level keeps the headline inflation risk premium elevated ahead of the 14 October CPI, limiting the ceiling on any bond relief rally. This article does not constitute financial advice. It is produced for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as the basis for any investment decision. Past market behaviour is not a guide to future performance. This article was generated with AI assistance and may contain errors. SimpleFX Markets Desk — AI-assisted market analysis for active traders * [A $39 Billion Auction and a Set of Minutes That Could Reopen December](#a__39_billion_auctio) * [Inflation, Oil, and OATs Add Pressure from Every Direction](#inflation__oil__and_) * [CPI on 14 October Is the Next Hard Stop](#cpi_on_14_october_is) × Pembukaan akun sederhana. Cara sederhana untuk mulai berinvestasi. Tanpa biaya dan tanpa setoran minimum Masukkan email Anda Saya menerima [Ketentuan Penggunaan](https://basitfx.com/legal-documents) & [Kebijakan Privasi](https://basitfx.com/privacy-policy/) . Buka akun sekarang ![Temukan SimpleFX](/assets/images/new-sfx-app-webtrader-mobile-v2@2x.png) ![BasitFX](assets/images/basitfx-logo-white.png) Temukan kami di [](/social/facebook)[](/social/linkedin)[](/social/youtube)[](/social/tiktok) Bergabunglah dengan komunitas kami [](/social/x)[](/social/discord) Unduh SimpleFX [](https://basitfx.com/get-app/ios) Pindai kode QR ini unduh aplikasi. ![](https://api.basitfx.com/mobile-store/qr/ios) [](https://basitfx.com/get-app/android) Pindai kode QR ini unduh aplikasi. ![](https://api.basitfx.com/mobile-store/qr/android) [Menawarkan](id/offer) Menawarkan [Kripto](id/offer/crypto) [Valas](id/offer/forex) [Indeks](id/offer/indices) [Komoditas](id/offer/commodities) [Ekuitas](id/offer/equities) [ETF](id/offer/etf) [Logam](id/offer/metals) [Earn - Stake & Trade](id/earn-stake-trade) [Promosi](id/promotions) [TiMi - AI Trade Mate](id/timi-ai-trade-mate) [Pergi untuk menawarkan](id/offer) [Platform](id/platforms) Platform [Aplikasi seluler](id/mobile-app) [Aplikasi desktop](id/desktop-app) [Aplikasi website](id/web-trader) [Pergi ke platform](id/platforms) Informasi perdagangan [Simbol kita](id/instruments) [Cara Pembayaran](id/payments) [SFX - SimpleFX Coin](id/sfx-simplefx-coin) [Bitcoin Lightning Network](id/bitcoin-lightning-network) [Tanpa biaya](id/zero-fees) [API](https://github.com/SimpleFXcom/simplefx-api) [Berita perdagangan](id/trading-news) Mendukung [Pusat Bantuan](id/help-center) [Pertanyaan yang sering diajukan](id/faq) [Status](id/status) [Kalkulator mata uang](id/currency-calculator) [Akademi](https://simplefxacademy.com) Perusahaan [Tentang kami](id/about) [Kesadaran keamanan siber](id/cybersecurity-awareness) [Terhubung untuk bisnis](id/connect-for-business) [Aset merek](id/brand-assets) Afiliasi [Menjadi mitra](id/affiliate) [Unilink](id/unilink) Privasi dan Regulasi [Dokumen legal](id/legal-documents) [Berputar](id/rollover) [Kebijakan pribadi](id/privacy-policy) [Kebijakan Cookie](https://basitfx.com/resources/SimpleFX_CookiesPolicy.pdf) **SimpleFX Group** terdiri dari entitas berikut: **8TECH LTD** disahkan dan diawasi oleh Komisi Jasa Keuangan di Mauritius dengan nomor lisensi GB23201604. Alamat Kantor: 18 Bank Street Ground Floor, Silver Bank Tower Cybercity, Ebene, Mauritius. 8TECH LTD tidak menyediakan Layanan Penukaran Fiat maupun layanan penukaran mata uang kripto. 8TECH LTD tidak mendukung akun perdagangan mata uang kripto maupun deposit mata uang kripto. **8TECH ZA (PTY) LTD** adalah Penyedia Layanan Aset Kripto dan FSP dengan Lisensi No. 53073 yang disahkan oleh Otoritas Perilaku Sektor Keuangan (FSCA), Alamat kantor: 4 Haven Lane Malvern Queensburgh Durban Kwa-Zulu Natal 4093, Afrika Selatan. 8TECH ZA (PTY) LTD menawarkan deposit mata uang kripto dan mendukung akun perdagangan mata uang kripto berdasarkan lisensi FSCA No. 53073 dengan subkategori aset kripto. **8TECH PA LLC** berlisensi dari Otoritas Layanan Internasional Kuna de Wargandí (KUNAISA) di bawah Lisensi FOREX No. FX0032026 dan Lisensi VASP No. V0042026, dengan nomor perusahaan 0004-IBC-2026 dan alamat terdaftar di Jalan Pusat, Gedung Kunaisa, Nurrá-Wala-Mortí, Wilayah Kuna de Wargandí, Republik Panama. 8TECH PA LLC adalah pemilik situs web SimpleFX: Platform perdagangan & investasi gratis. **SimpleFX Group** tidak diberi wewenang oleh otoritas Uni Eropa, Otoritas Kompeten Nasional EEA, atau Inggris Raya. Layanan SimpleFX berada di luar kerangka regulasi Uni Eropa dan Inggris Raya. Anda tidak akan dilindungi oleh Dana Kompensasi Investor. Informasi di situs web ini bukan merupakan, dan tidak boleh ditafsirkan atau dipahami sebagai bujukan atau ajakan untuk terlibat dalam aktivitas investasi atau perdagangan apa pun dan tidak dimaksudkan sebagai pemasaran atau promosi layanan SimpleFX kepada warga negara UE, EEA. atau Inggris. **SimpleFX Group** tidak menyediakan layanan kepada warga negara dan penduduk Amerika Serikat atau negara mana pun di mana distribusi atau penggunaan tersebut bertentangan dengan hukum atau peraturan setempat. **PERINGATAN RISIKO** Perdagangan margin dalam mata uang asing, aset virtual, atau produk off-exchange lainnya dengan margin memiliki tingkat risiko yang tinggi dan mungkin tidak cocok untuk semua orang. Kami menyarankan Anda untuk mempertimbangkan dengan hati-hati apakah perdagangan cocok untuk Anda mengingat keadaan pribadi Anda. CFD merupakan instrumen yang kompleks dan memiliki risiko tinggi kehilangan uang dengan cepat karena leverage. 78% akun investor ritel kehilangan uang saat berdagang CFD dengan penyedia ini. Anda harus mempertimbangkan apakah Anda memahami cara kerja CFD dan apakah Anda mampu menanggung risiko tinggi kehilangan uang Anda. Pajak mungkin dibayarkan atas keuntungan apa pun dan Anda harus meminta nasihat independen mengenai posisi perpajakan Anda. 2026 SimpleFX. All rights reserved. [ Menulis kepada kami. Kami merespons 24/5. ](https://app.basitfx.com/login?action=open-livechat)